There Could Be a Lot of Rain Next Week Before It Turns Warmer
I’ve been keeping an eye on a potential weather situation coming up next week that could bring a lot of welcome rain to North Georgia. Since the beginning of the week, the Climate Prediction Center has indicated the potential for heavy rain for much of the Southeast for Tuesday-Thursday. The latest drought outlook, issued last Thursday, called for drought relief in the southeast, a marked change from the outlook two weeks ago. Now, this potential is beginning to show up in the precipitation forecasts for Tuesday night through Thursday night, as you can see to the right.
If the outlook is correct, (and remember this is four or five days away), Metro Atlanta could have as much as 3.7 inches of rain — enough perhaps to prevent Lake Lanier from dropping lower than it did in December last year before the winter rains kicked in.
The real question is the exact path of the upper low that ultimately is going to bring the rain our way. The models have been bringing it further and further eas, which would increase the amount of rain in the Peach State. Indeed this morning’s forecast had the bulk of the rain slightly further north and west, putting Atlanta and Northeast Georgia in another “we just missed the heavy rain” situation we’ve seen so frequently.
No matter how much rain we get with this storm, it marks the start of a pattern change that sets up a trough in the west. The effect of this is that the colder air that brought us much colder than normal temperatures for the past few weeks is going to move to the west, and we will see at least a temporary warmup beginning next weekend that could push daily highs into the 60s and lows in the 40s beginning on the 15th.
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