Fay Update
Forecasters are having a difficult time predicting the ultimate path and speed of Fay, with the forecast track changing with each six hour update. Sunday at this time, the storm was expected to track through southeast Georgia, exiting into South Carolina near Augusta, and ending up Friday evening near the Kentucky/Virgina/West Virginia border. By this morning, the storm was going to travel roughly the same path, but end up near Asheville, NC. Midday today, the storm was going to move further east into South Carolina. And today’s late afternoon forecast has it as a tropical depression over Brunswick by Thursday afternoon, over Statesboro by Friday afternoon, and close to Atlanta by Saturday afternoon.
You can watch an animation of the 5 day forecast maps here.
Forecasters have slowed Fay down and moved it more towards the heart of Georgia primarily because of developing upper level high pressure to the north that will slow the tropical system down and ultimately push her to the west. That puts is in the scenario outlined by the Peachtree City weather office I mentioned in last night’s post.
The meteorologist who prepared this afternoon’s Peachtree City forecast admitted he was following the Hurricane Center’s guidance on Fay’s path, primarily because the models continue to offer different possible outcomes to the storm. Since the latest update from the Hurricane Center was released after his forecast was, there still isn’t much mention of possible rain. We’ll have to see what tomorrow’s forecast brings.
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