Weather for Tyler, Texas
Lat: 32.33N, Lon: 95.3W
Wx Zone: TXZ136
Texas Drought MonitorThe Texas Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Texas land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Texas Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS74 KSHV 191235
ESFSHV
TXC183-203-365-401-419-423-459-499-LAC031-201600-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
735 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) LONG RANGE
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK FOR THE SABINE RIVER BASIN OF EAST TEXAS...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) OFFICE IN SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
HAS IMPLEMENTED THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)
FOR THE SABINE RIVER BASIN IN EASTERN TEXAS. AHPS ENABLES THE
NWS TO PROVIDE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS. THIS SERVICE IS
ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET.
IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THE RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS DURING
THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE...THE SABINE RIVER NEAR MINEOLA
TEXAS FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET. THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE THE
SABINE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE 9.2 FEET DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID FOR MAY 19 - AUGUST 18 2011
LOCATION FS 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
------------------ -- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
LAKE FORK CREEK
QUITMAN 4S 16 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.5 5.0 6.9
SABINE RIVER
MINEOLA 4S 14 5.7 6.9 8.0 8.5 9.2 10.3 12.4 16.1 17.1
GLADEWATER 3WSW 26 7.2 8.8 9.5 10.2 11.3 13.6 15.3 19.2 24.9
LONGVIEW 25 9.4 9.4 9.6 11.0 12.4 14.3 16.9 19.6 22.0
BECKVILLE 8NE 26 10.6 10.7 10.9 12.0 13.1 15.4 15.7 18.2 21.8
LOGANSPORT 28 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.9 17.1 17.8 18.2 19.8
BIG SANDY CREEK
BIG SANDY 4NE 17 5.6 5.6 6.0 7.0 7.5 8.0 9.0 9.8 11.1
RABBIT CREEK
KILGORE 10 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.7 7.1 7.9 10.2
LOCATION 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
----------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
LK MARTIN 299.4 299.5 299.5 299.6 299.6 299.8 300.9 301.8 302.6
LK MURVAUL 263.5 263.6 263.6 263.7 263.8 264.2 265.3 265.4 265.6
THIS LONG RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS PROBABILITIES COMPUTED
USING MULTIPLE SCENARIOS FROM 50 YEARS OF HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL
AND STREAM FLOW DATA. THESE PROBABILITIES ALSO ACCOUNT FOR THE
CURRENT RIVER FLOWS AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS. BY PROVIDING THE
COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILISTIC NUMBERS...THE LEVEL OF RISK
ASSOCIATED WITH LONG RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED.
ADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND EXPLANATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE
INTERNET AT THIS URL: HTTP://AHPS.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SHV
(INTERNET ADDRESS URL IS ALL LOWER CASE).
LONG RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED AROUND THE THIRD
THURSDAY OF EVERY MONTH.
$$
VIII.
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