Weather for Lubbock, Texas
Lat: 33.58N, Lon: 101.88W
Wx Zone: TXZ035
Texas Drought MonitorThe Texas Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Texas land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Texas Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS74 KLUB 162127
ESFLUB
170927-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
327 PM CST THU DEC 16 2010
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)
LONG RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK FOR THE BRAZOS
RIVER BASIN IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN LUBBOCK TEXAS HAS
IMPLEMENTED ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) FOR
THE BRAZOS RIVER BASIN IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. AHPS ENABLES THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO PROVIDE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC
OUTLOOKS. THIS SERVICE IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET.
IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THE RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN THE
NEXT 90 DAYS. EXAMPLE: THE DOUBLE MOUNTAIN FORK OF THE BRAZOS
RIVER NEAR ASPERMONT 10S HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET. THERE IS
A 50 PERCENT CHANCE THE ASPERMONT FORECAST POINT WILL RISE ABOVE
1.0 FEET DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID 12/16/2010 - 03/15/2010
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
SALT FORK OF THE BRAZOS RIVER
ASPERMONT 13N 12.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 4.2 5.8
DOUBLE MOUNTAIN FORK BRAZOS RIVER
JUSTICEBURG 19.0 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 6.1
ASPERMONT 10S 8.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.4 3.0
LAKE ALAN HENRY
90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
2218.2 2218.2 2218.2 2218.2 2218.3 2218.3 2218.3 2218.4 2218.4
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS NUMBERS THAT ARE
CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SCENARIOS FROM 50 YEARS OF HISTORICAL
CLIMATOLOGICAL AND STREAM FLOW DATA. THESE NUMBERS ALSO TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER AND SOIL MOISTURE.
BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILISTIC NUMBERS...THE
LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN
BE DETERMINED.
ADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND EXPLANATION ARE AVAILABLE ON THE
INTERNET AT: HTTP://AHPS.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LUB
(INTERNET ADDRESS IS ALL LOWER CASE).
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED AROUND THE THIRD
THURSDAY OF EVERY MONTH.
$$
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