Weather for Des Moines, Iowa
Lat: 41.58N, Lon: 93.62W
Wx Zone: IAZ060
Iowa Drought MonitorThe Iowa Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Iowa land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Iowa Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential. 000 FGUS73 KDMX 221350 ESFDMX PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 748 AM CST WED DEC 22 2010 ...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS... THIS OUTLOOK PROVIDES LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOKS FOR RIVER BASINS IN IOWA. THIS OUTLOOK IS DIVIDED INTO TWO PARTS... ONE FOR HIGH WATER...AND ONE FOR LOW WATER. A BRIEF EXPLANATION OF THE METHODOLOGY USED IN CREATING THESE FORECASTS IS GIVEN AT THE END OF THIS OUTLOOK. IN THE FIRST TABLE BELOW FOR HIGH WATER...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE CHANCE THE RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE...THE DES MOINES RIVER AT FORT DODGE HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE STAGE REACHING 13.3 FEET. CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS VALID 12/26/2010 - 3/26/2011 LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% IOWA RIVER ROWAN 11 8.0 10.4 10.9 11.3 11.7 12.1 12.6 13.3 14.1 MARSHALLTOWN 18 14.0 14.4 15.2 16.0 16.6 16.8 17.4 17.9 19.2 CEDAR RIVER WAVERLY 11.5 7.0 7.7 8.1 8.5 9.1 9.6 10.4 11.2 12.6 JANESVILLE 11 5.6 6.6 7.2 7.9 8.6 9.9 10.6 11.8 13.5 CEDAR FALLS 88 85.5 87.2 88.2 88.7 89.7 90.5 91.4 92.4 93.4 WATERLOO 12 8.8 9.8 10.8 11.4 13.1 14.0 15.4 16.8 18.2 W FK CEDAR RIVER FINCHFORD 12 9.6 10.5 11.1 11.3 12.0 12.3 12.5 12.9 14.2 WINNEBAGO RIVER MASON CITY 7 6.1 6.6 6.9 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.9 9.4 10.0 SHELL ROCK RIVER SHELL ROCK 12 10.4 10.9 11.3 11.6 12.1 12.6 13.0 13.3 13.9 BEAVER CREEK NEW HARTFORD 10 5.3 6.1 6.5 7.3 8.1 8.8 9.3 10.5 11.9 S SKUNK RIVER AMES 3N 14 5.9 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.4 7.8 8.5 9.1 10.1 AMES HWY 30 20 13.9 15.5 16.0 16.7 17.5 18.2 19.3 20.5 21.4 COLFAX 17 9.8 11.6 12.2 12.9 13.5 14.3 15.5 16.2 17.0 OSKALOOSA 20 12.3 14.1 14.4 15.8 16.9 18.2 19.1 19.9 21.9 SQUAW CREEK AMES 9 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.8 6.7 7.3 DES MOINES RIVER ESTHERVILLE 7 7.5 8.4 8.8 9.3 9.9 10.6 11.3 12.8 13.6 EMMETSBURG 10 6.8 7.5 8.0 8.7 9.2 10.4 11.2 11.9 12.5 HUMBOLDT 8 7.0 7.5 8.1 8.3 8.7 9.2 9.8 11.2 11.9 FORT DODGE 10.5 7.2 7.9 8.3 9.0 9.5 10.2 10.5 12.3 13.3 STRATFORD 14 11.4 13.4 14.4 15.2 15.9 17.0 18.4 20.1 22.1 DSM-2ND AVE 23 17.0 18.1 18.3 18.5 18.8 19.3 19.7 20.0 21.5 DSM-SE 6TH 24 17.0 19.3 20.6 23.0 23.3 23.7 24.0 24.5 27.1 EDDYVILLE 61 56.8 58.8 60.3 60.9 61.2 61.4 61.7 61.9 62.4 OTTUMWA 11 7.7 9.1 10.7 11.1 11.3 11.8 12.2 12.4 13.1 E FK DES MOINES RIVER ALGONA 14 13.7 14.6 15.1 15.4 16.1 16.4 16.9 18.3 18.9 DAKOTA CITY 20 12.9 13.5 14.2 14.6 15.2 15.6 16.4 17.9 19.1 BOONE RIVER WEBSTER CITY 12 4.7 5.9 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.3 9.1 9.6 10.1 BEAVER CREEK GRIMES 12 5.1 6.6 8.0 8.6 9.4 10.2 10.6 11.6 12.3 N RACCOON RIVER JEFFERSON 19 7.9 9.7 10.9 11.6 12.3 13.0 13.9 15.2 17.6 PERRY 15 9.9 11.6 13.1 14.4 14.9 15.5 16.4 17.7 20.5 S RACCOON RIVER REDFIELD 20 5.0 5.4 5.9 7.0 7.9 8.4 8.9 9.5 11.4 RACCOON RIVER VAN METER 16 7.3 8.5 9.7 11.6 12.3 13.1 13.3 14.2 16.9 DSM-HWY 28 32 26.9 28.4 29.4 31.3 32.1 32.9 33.0 33.6 36.0 DSM-FLEUR DR 12 6.0 7.7 8.8 10.9 11.7 12.5 12.7 13.2 16.7 NORTH RIVER NORWALK 18 12.4 15.0 16.2 18.8 20.1 21.2 21.4 21.8 22.3 MIDDLE RIVER INDIANOLA 19 12.0 12.9 14.3 15.4 15.9 16.7 18.3 19.3 22.7 SOUTH RIVER ACKWORTH 26 10.8 11.6 12.3 12.7 13.1 13.4 13.9 14.5 16.7 CEDAR CREEK BUSSEY 18 9.5 11.2 12.3 12.7 14.1 14.7 15.9 16.8 19.1 E NISHNABOTNA RIVER ATLANTIC 17 6.7 7.4 7.8 8.5 9.0 9.8 10.4 11.4 13.4 E FK 102 RIVER BEDFORD 21 13.5 14.2 14.7 14.9 15.3 15.9 17.1 17.7 18.1 THOMPSON RIVER DAVIS CITY 9 3.8 4.6 5.1 5.3 6.1 6.9 8.4 9.2 11.4 CHARITON RIVER CHARITON 18 11.9 13.3 14.3 15.1 15.4 15.9 16.2 16.7 17.3 MOULTON 35 22.9 23.4 24.7 25.3 27.2 28.0 30.3 31.4 32.9 S FK CHARITON RIVER PROMISE CITY 18 8.0 9.7 11.1 13.0 14.6 15.6 17.7 18.9 19.6 IN THIS NEXT TABLE...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE CHANCE THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE...THE CEDAR RIVER AT CEDAR FALLS HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 88 FEET. IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE STAGE FALLING TO 77.0 FEET. CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS VALID 12/27/2010 - 4/30/2011 LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% IOWA RIVER ROWAN 11 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 MARSHALLTOWN 18 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 CEDAR RIVER WAVERLY 11.5 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 JANESVILLE 11 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 CEDAR FALLS 88 77.4 77.4 77.3 77.3 77.2 77.1 77.1 77.0 77.0 WATERLOO 12 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 W FK CEDAR RIVER FINCHFORD 12 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 WINNEBAGO RIVER MASON CITY 7 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 SHELL ROCK RIVER SHELL ROCK 12 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.7 BEAVER CREEK NEW HARTFORD 10 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 S SKUNK RIVER AMES 3N 14 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 AMES HWY 30 20 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.5 COLFAX 17 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 OSKALOOSA 20 8.5 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.9 SQUAW CREEK AMES 9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 DES MOINES RIVER ESTHERVILLE 7 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 EMMETSBURG 10 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 HUMBOLDT 8 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 FORT DODGE 10.5 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 STRATFORD 14 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 DSM-2ND AVE 23 13.5 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.4 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.2 DSM-SE 6TH 24 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.2 10.1 EDDYVILLE 61 47.6 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 OTTUMWA 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 E FK DES MOINES RIVER ALGONA 14 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 7.0 DAKOTA CITY 20 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 BOONE RIVER WEBSTER CITY 12 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 BEAVER CREEK GRIMES 12 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 N RACCOON RIVER JEFFERSON 19 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 PERRY 15 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 S RACCOON RIVER REDFIELD 20 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 RACCOON RIVER VAN METER 16 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 DSM-HWY 28 32 22.9 22.9 22.8 22.8 22.8 22.7 22.7 22.7 22.5 DSM-FLEUR DR 12 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 NORTH RIVER NORWALK 18 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 MIDDLE RIVER INDIANOLA 19 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 SOUTH RIVER ACKWORTH 26 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.5 CEDAR CREEK BUSSEY 18 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA...INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...SOIL MOISTURE...SNOW COVER...AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS ARE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE`S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE. THESE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED NEAR THE MIDDLE OF EACH MONTH THROUGHOUT THE YEAR. ALL OF THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT ON THE DES MOINES NWS INTERNET HOMEPAGE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES (LOWER CASE). $$ |