000
FXUS64 KFWD 200255 AAB
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
955 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2011
.UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONE PACKAGE TO REMOVE POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT. THE HEAT CONTINUES ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS AS WE HIT OUR 18TH DAY OF A MAX TEMP OF 100 DEGREES OR
HIGHER. LOOKS LIKE WE COULD DO IT AGAIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS
NO END IN THE HEAT AND DROUGHT IS IN SIGHT...YET. 75
&&
.AVIATION...
AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAS STAYED SOUTH/SOUTHWEST OF WACO AND WILL
LEAVE THE TAFS WITH NO MENTION OF RAIN/THUNDER. MOST ACTIVITY
SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL...BUT CANT RULE OUT A STRAY
SHOWER LATER THIS EVENING. THE METROPLEX SITES SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN S/SE AROUND 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. FOR TOMORROW...AREA OF CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN LOOKS BEST
SOUTH OF WACO AND WILL LEAVE NO MENTION IN THE TAFS. 85/NH
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE UPPER PATTERN OVER THE NEXT WEEK. UPPER
HIGH WILL BE THE MAIN PLAYER AND WILL KEEP THE WEATHER HOT AND
MOSTLY DRY. LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN/SOUTHEASTERN ZONES MAY SEE
ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE LOCATIONS ARE
WILL BE IN THE AREA OF BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...BUT OVERALL
RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW. FOR THE WEEKEND...500MB HEIGHTS
INCREASE AND THIS WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES MINIMAL AND HAVE NO PRECIP
MENTIONED IN THE GRIDS. 99
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 81 100 80 100 80 / 10 10 10 10 10
WACO, TX 80 101 79 100 79 / 10 20 10 20 20
PARIS, TX 77 100 76 99 76 / 10 10 10 10 10
DENTON, TX 80 100 78 99 78 / 10 10 10 10 10
MCKINNEY, TX 76 98 76 99 76 / 10 10 10 10 10
DALLAS, TX 81 99 81 100 81 / 10 10 10 10 10
TERRELL, TX 79 99 78 98 77 / 10 10 10 10 10
CORSICANA, TX 78 100 78 99 77 / 10 10 10 20 20
TEMPLE, TX 78 100 77 99 76 / 10 20 10 20 20
MINERAL WELLS, TX 80 103 78 102 79 / 10 10 10 10 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
/75
