Lawrenceville Weather

US Weather Forecast Center

Weather for Appleton, Wisconsin

 

Lat: 44.26N, Lon: 88.4W Wx Zone: WIZ038

Current Conditions and Forecast
Watches & Warnings
Special WX Statements
Hourly Forecast
Radar Information

Forecast Discussion
Wisconsin Drought & Flood Info
Short Term Models
Wisconsin Storm Reports
Area Rivers & Lakes

Area Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS63 KGRB 032110
AFDGRB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
310 PM CST WED DEC 3 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

AT 20Z, COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER EASTERN LOWER MICHIGAN AS UPPER
WAVE SHIFTING EAST THROUGH WI. SNOW BAND CONTINUING TO SHIFT EAST
THROUGH THE FOX VALLEY WITH BACK EDGE EXTENDING FROM GRB TO JUST
WEST OF OSH. ELSEWHERE SKIES CLEARING OUT OVER CENTRAL WI THIS
AFTERNOON WITH LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS/CLOUDS MOVING OFF LAKE SUPERIOR
OVER PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL WI.

MAIN CONCERNS THIS PERIOD ARE CURRENT HEADLINES AND LES THREAT.
WILL CANCEL ADVISORY WITH THIS ISSUANCE WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. CAA PATTERN TO BRING SUBSIDENCE AND
LESSENING OF CLOUDS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR
MOVES IN...DEW POINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. HAVE LOWERED TEMPS
TONIGHT...THOUGH EXPECT WIND WILL KEEP FROM TOTALLY TANKING.

SECOND UPPER WAVE TO MOVE IN ON THU. MODELS INDICATE SOME INCREASE
IN RH WITH SYSTEM AND WITH LLVL LAPSE RATES APPROACHING 6 WILL
BRING IN INCREASING CLOUDS AND KEEP PREVIOUS FLURRY MENTION.

LES POTENTIAL FOR NORTH CENTRAL PEAKING ATTM WITH WINDS EXPECTED
TO BACK TO THE WEST THIS EVENING. CALL TO SPOTTER NW VILAS INDICATED
SHOWERS ALL DAY...THOUGH AMOUNTS LIMITED TO LESS THAN AN INCH.
LIKELY DUE TO MOISTURE LIMITATION UPSTREAM.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH A FEW
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW. THE FIRST ONE
APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THERE IS DECENT UPPER
SUPPORT BUT NOT THAT MUCH MOISTURE. THIS CLIPPER SYSTEM SHOULD
BE ENOUGH TO SQUEEZE OUT 1 TO 3 INCHES SINCE THE AIR IS INITIALLY
QUITE COLD. THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE STRONGER...AND
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AN ADVISORY CRITERIA SNOW...
ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH. 50 KNOT 850 MB WINDS FORECAST BY GFS AT
12Z MONDAY IN A VERY STRONG WARM ADVECTION PATTERN. AS THE TWO
UPPER SYSTEMS MENTIONED ABOVE MOVE THROUGH...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFECT SNOW IN NORTHCENTRAL WISCONSIN. LIGHT
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED SATURDAY AS THE AIR IS QUITE DRY AND
INVERSION HEIGHT IS LOW. LAKE EFFECT ALSO POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT
AND PART OF TUESDAY. WINDS LOOK NEARLY IDEAL FOR 6 TO 12
HOURS...BUT THE AIR WILL ALSO BE VERY DRY.
&&

.AVIATION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TO MOVE IN TONIGHT...BRING LESSENING OF CLOUDS
WITH VFR CIGS EXPECTED TONIGHT...EXCEPTION RHI AND VICNITY AS LES
CLOUDS SHOWERS MOVE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR. SECOND UPPER DISTURBANCE TO
MOVE THROUGH STATE ON THU. MAINLY MVFR CIGS EXPECTED WITH FEW
FLURRIES.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$
TE/RDM


Important Note: Never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information
obtained from the Internet. Find out why.