000
FNUS53 KMQT 010954
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
...WARM...BREEZY AND DRIER TODAY...
.DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSING THIS MORNING...IT
WILL TURN DRIER WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING. THE AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT IS STILL WARM...AND HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL. COMBINED WITH A DRYING AIR MASS...MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO AROUND 30 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY.
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES MAY
SPREAD SOME LIGHT RAIN INTO FAR EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING. THEN...AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MAY SPARK A
FEW SHOWERS OVER WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL
BE A COUPLE OF MORE OPPORTUNITIES FOR SHOWERS IN THE UPCOMING WEEK...
BUT NO SIGNIFICANT OR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EVENTS ARE EXPECTED.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK WILL TREND BELOW NORMAL
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
MIZ002-009-084-021030-
ONTONAGON-GOGEBIC-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONTONAGON...IRONWOOD...KENTON...SIDNAW
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010 /454 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010/
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 INLAND TO AROUND 61 AT THE SHORE.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63 INLAND TO AROUND 57 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING
TO WEST 15 TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ001-003-021030-
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 INLAND TO AROUND 60 AT THE SHORE.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 INLAND TO AROUND 54 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
15 TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ004-005-021030-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...L`ANSE...GWINN...MARQUETTE
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT INLAND TO 70 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 INLAND TO AROUND 64 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 10
TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ010>012-021030-
IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE
454 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR
LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING
TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ006>008-085-021030-
ALGER-LUCE-CHIPPEWA-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY...
SAULT STE. MARIE...SENEY
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE EAST
OF NEWBERRY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........5.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ013>015-021030-
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...
ST. IGNACE
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 INLAND TO AROUND 62 AT THE SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
TO 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE EAST OF
MANISTIQUE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT INLAND TO 88 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
15 TO 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........4.
LAL.................1.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37 TO 42.
HIGHS 60 TO 65 INLAND TO AROUND 51 AT THE SHORE. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 39. HIGHS 68 TO 73 INLAND TO AROUND 61 AT
THE SHORE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 44 TO 49. HIGHS 64 TO 69 INLAND TO
AROUND 55 AT THE SHORE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37 TO 42 INLAND TO AROUND
43 AT THE SHORE. HIGHS 55 TO 60 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 54 TO 59 INLAND TO
AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
.OUTLOOK FOR SAT MAY 8 THROUGH FRI MAY 14...EXPECT BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
$$
...................SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST DATA....................
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) TODAY...
HAINES MIXING TRANSPORT VENTILATION
WIMS ID/ SITE/ INDEX / HEIGHT / WIND / INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 10300 / SW 36 / 3708 (E)
/ KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 10800 / SW 40 / 4320 (E)
/ MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE / 6600 / SW 36 / 2376 (E)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 7000 / SW 39 / 2730 (E)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 6 HIGH / 5200 / SW 39 / 2028 (E)
200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 11000 / SW 39 / 4290 (E)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 10400 / SW 37 / 3848 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 12200 / SW 39 / 4758 (E)
201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 5500 / SW 39 / 2145 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 11700 / SW 35 / 4095 (E)
201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 4000 / SW 37 / 1480 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 5400 / SW 32 / 1728 (E)
201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4900 / SW 41 / 2009 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 5200 / SW 41 / 2132 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 6300 / SW 35 / 2205 (E)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 9900 / SW 42 / 4158 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 10300 / SW 41 / 4223 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 800 / SW 18 / 144 (F)
/ KEW/ 5 MODERATE / 10100 / SW 35 / 3535 (E)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) SUN...
HAINES MIXING TRANSPORT VENTILATION
WIMS ID/ SITE/ INDEX / HEIGHT / WIND / INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 8600 / SW 31 / 2666 (E)
/ KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 8200 / SW 39 / 3198 (E)
/ MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE / 8800 / SW 33 / 2904 (E)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW / 7500 / SW 32 / 2400 (E)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW / 5300 / SW 31 / 1643 (E)
200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 11000 / SW 39 / 4290 (E)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 9600 / SW 34 / 3264 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 9800 / SW 37 / 3626 (E)
201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 5300 / SW 33 / 1749 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 10800 / SW 37 / 3996 (E)
201401 / REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 4400 / SW 33 / 1452 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 5500 / SW 23 / 1265 (E)
201202 / SENEY/ 3 VERY LOW / 4200 / SW 31 / 1302 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 4500 / SW 34 / 1530 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 6100 / SW 27 / 1647 (E)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 8000 / SW 39 / 3120 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 8300 / SW 41 / 3403 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 2900 / SW 13 / 377 (G)
/ KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 7000 / SW 33 / 2310 (E)
NOTE: MIXING HEIGHTS ARE IN FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE IN MILES PER HOUR
.....................................................................
THE FOLLOWING IS POINT FORECAST INFORMATION VALID AT 1 PM EST.
NOTE THAT THE QPF IS FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS HAVE
BEEN REDUCED BY A FACTOR OF 0.7 BY THE REQUEST OF LOCAL FIRE OFFICIALS.
WIMS ID/ SITE/TEMP/ RH/WSPD/WDIR/ QPF
----------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 73/ 34/ 14/ SW/0.00
/ KENTON/ 70/ 33/ 14/ SW/0.00
/ MUNISING/ 70/ 37/ 12/ S/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 70/ 38/ 12/ S/0.00
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 68/ 42/ 12/ S/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 72/ 34/ 16/ SW/0.00
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 72/ 35/ 15/ SW/0.00
200503 / PELKIE/ 72/ 33/ 14/ SW/0.00
201504 / RACO/ 71/ 45/ 13/ S/0.00
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 71/ 32/ 14/ SW/0.00
201401 / REXTON/ 68/ 52/ 12/ S/0.00
201505 / RUDYARD/ 70/ 47/ 11/ SW/0.00
201202 / SENEY/ 68/ 44/ 13/ S/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 69/ 45/ 15/ S/0.00
201102 / STONINGTON/ 68/ 43/ 13/ S/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 67/ 34/ 16/ SW/0.00
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 67/ 34/ 12/ SW/0.00
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 64/ 60/ 7/ S/0.00
/ KEW/ 70/ 37/ 14/ SW/0.00
$$
ROLFSON
000
FNUS53 KGRR 010826
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
...HEADLINE...
.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL GRADUALLY END TODAY FROM
WEST TO EAST AND WILL BE REPLACED WITH SOME SUNSHINE THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THE BREAK IN THE RAIN WILL BE BRIEF AS MORE
SHOWERS WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE REGION TOWARD MIDNIGHT. SOME OF
THE RAIN TONIGHT COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. ONCE AGAIN THE RAIN WILL END THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY...WITH SUNSHINE INTO THE
AFTERNOON.
MIZ037>039-043>045-012015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 75-80 INLAND.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 4
DEGREES COOLER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 40-45
PERCENT INLAND.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 2
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
6800-7300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2200 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO
700-1200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.16 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 43-48
PERCENT INLAND.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1
PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5600-6100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.20 IN.
$$
MIZ040-046-012015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1700 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.21 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.17 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8200 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.22 IN.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-012015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 48-53
PERCENT INLAND.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4900-5400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.18 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1500-2000
FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.37 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
UNTIL MIDDAY.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5300-5800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-012015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.31 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.26 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7600 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.20 IN.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-012015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.39 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.42 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-6600 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.27 IN.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
$$
000
FNUS53 KAPX 010826
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
...OVERNIGHT RAINFALL WILL HELP KEEP THINGS IN CHECK FOR TODAY...
.DISCUSSION...AFTER SHOWERS PULL OUT EARLY THIS MORNING...BREEZY
SOUTH WINDS IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING
ANOTHER DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN LATER THIS EVENING...WITH MORE SEASONAL
AIR AND ANOTHER SHOT FOR PRECIPITATION TO FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY.
THANKS TO THE OVERNIGHT PRECIPITATION AND LINGERING CLOUD COVER...
HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY...CRITICAL VALUES
THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE PERSISTENT THOUGH...
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-012015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS
TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1920).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 20
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.20 IN.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-012015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS
TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1460).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.21 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0200. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
0800 UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS
TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (870).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.29 IN.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-012015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS
TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS
TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 43-48 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 24
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.14 IN.
$$
MIZ031>033-012015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0200 UNTIL 0500...THEN RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 24
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1280).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.19 IN.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-012015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
GUSTS TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1870).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.23 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0200. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
0800 UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 20
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.27 IN.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
BERGER
000
FNUS53 KDTX 010806
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE TRANSPORTED A MUCH MORE HUMID AIRMASS INTO THE
REGION THIS MORNING. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A WEAKENING COLD FRONT. A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO LIFT UP FROM THE SOUTH AND PASS TO THE EAST OF
THE REGION ON SUNDAY...BRINGING A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF RAIN TO THE
REGION. THE PATTERN NEXT WEAK WILL FEATURE A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS
FOLLOWED BY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT
4 PM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65
PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH ABOUT NOON. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST EARLY
THIS EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BY 2 AM. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE
AT NIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH NOON...THEN CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3540-4040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1310).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-012100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT
4 PM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70
PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH ABOUT 4 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3020-3520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO
25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BY 2 AM. POP...80
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE AT NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
LATE AT NIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH NOON...THEN CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST...THEN
BECOMING WEST.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5590-6090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND 45 MPH...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 30
MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT
6 PM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70
PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH ABOUT NOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 4 PM. POP...60
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5860-6360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85
PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BY 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH NOON...THEN
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST...THEN
BECOMING WEST.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5360-5860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND 40 MPH...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 25
MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
$$
CONSIDINE
000
FNUS73 KGRR 010018
FWSGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR STILES SWAMP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
818 PM EDT FRI APR 30 2010
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2004 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED OVER THE SITE TONIGHT.
MAINLY THE RAIN IS EXPECTED AFTER 1 AM AND COULD LAST UNTIL 8 AM.
RAINFALL AT THE STILES SWAMP SITE SHOULD BE AROUND ONE TO TWO
TENTHS OF AN INCH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SPEEDS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS EVENING WILL BE
AROUND 15 MPH...THEN IT WILL DROP OFF TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1 AM.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT REQUEST...MIN 62.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 18 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 18
TO 22 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 2400-2900 FT
AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
MIDDAY.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 37
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900-7400 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4500 FT
AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 700
(EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2300-2700
(EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 2000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
1400 (EXCELLENT) IN THE EVENING.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH.
$$
FORECASTER...JK
REQUESTED BY...TOM VIERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100430.STILE.01/GRR
000
FNUS83 KAPX 301946 AAA
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,100501,13,1,75,38,1,1,SW,12,M,80,60,93,36,0,0,N
FCST,202010,100501,13,1,66,40,1,1,SW,14,M,86,55,90,37,0,0,N
FCST,203101,100501,13,1,73,34,1,1,SW,15,M,81,62,84,34,0,0,N
FCST,203601,100501,13,1,76,40,1,1,SW,13,M,83,61,84,38,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KAPX 301942
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,100501,13,1,75,38,1,1,SW,12,M,80,60,93,36,0,0,N
FCST,202010,100501,13,1,66,40,1,1,SW,14,M,86,55,90,37,0,0,N
FCST,203101,100501,13,1,73,34,1,1,SW,15,M,81,62,84,34,0,0,N
FCST,203601,100501,13,1,76,40,1,1,SW,13,M,83,61,84,38,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KGRR 301933
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,100501,13,1,72,48,1,1,SW,17,M,78,64,81,43,4,3,N
000
FNUS83 KMQT 301931
FWMMQT
FCST,200103,100501,13,1,66,36,1,1,SW,9,M,73,50,96,36,7,0,N
FCST,200301,100501,13,2,68,35,1,1,SW,19,M,76,47,100,35,7,0,N
FCST,201002,100501,13,1,69,42,1,1,SW,10,M,69,46,100,41,0,0,N
FCST,201103,100501,13,1,69,41,1,1,S,17,M,69,46,100,41,0,0,N
FCST,201504,100501,13,1,70,45,1,1,SW,16,M,70,50,100,45,0,0,N
FCST,201102,100501,13,1,69,41,1,1,SW,20,M,70,44,100,40,0,0,N
FCST,201202,100501,13,1,72,41,1,1,S,19,M,72,49,100,40,0,0,N
000
FNUS73 KGRR 301144
FWSGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SEARS TRACT...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
744 AM EDT FRI APR 30 2010
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB WELL INTO THE 70S TODAY.
MORNING SUNSHINE WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO MORE CLOUDS BY MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 20 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH
LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4600-5100
FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 1600
(EXCELLENT).
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 29 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24
TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 37
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HATTING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100430.SEARS.01/GRR
000
FNUS83 KAPX 291953
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,100430,13,1,75,45,1,1,S,12,M,75,46,86,22,0,0,N
FCST,202010,100430,13,1,68,51,1,1,S,13,M,69,52,86,27,0,0,N
FCST,203101,100430,13,1,77,47,1,1,S,14,M,77,54,83,29,0,0,N
FCST,203601,100430,13,1,74,46,1,1,S,11,M,75,46,83,25,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KMQT 291952
FWMMQT
FCST,200103,100430,13,2,68,51,1,1,SE,7,M,68,51,82,37,0,0,N
FCST,200301,100430,13,2,69,52,1,1,SE,11,M,69,51,81,37,0,0,N
FCST,201002,100430,13,2,67,47,1,1,S,9,M,68,49,79,37,0,0,N
FCST,201103,100430,13,2,63,55,1,1,S,12,M,63,50,79,33,0,0,N
FCST,201504,100430,13,2,65,49,1,1,SE,10,M,65,46,79,25,0,0,N
FCST,201102,100430,13,2,63,59,1,1,SE,12,M,63,49,87,41,0,0,N
FCST,201202,100430,13,2,65,51,1,1,SE,13,M,65,48,82,27,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KGRR 291910
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,100430,13,1,74,51,1,1,S,13,M,74,53,83,30,0,0,N
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