Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS72 KFFC 051414
ESFFFC
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-
129-133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-
187-193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-
233-235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-281-283-285-289-
291-293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-319-061800-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
915 AM EST FRI MAR 5 2010
...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...
FOR THE SPRING OF 2010...THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
CALLING FOR ABOVE NORMAL FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.
EXISTING CONDITIONS...
SOIL MOISTURE...UPPER AND LOWER SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS WERE
ABNORMALLY MOIST TO WET FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO
RECENT WEATHER SYSTEMS PRODUCING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA.
AVERAGE DAILY STREAM FLOWS FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS HAVE BEEN RUNNING
GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL IN NORTH GEORGIA AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
OCCASIONAL VARIANCES HAVE OCCURRED DUE TO PERIODIC RAINFALL AND
AREAS OF MINOR FLOODING...BUT OTHERWISE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DECEMBER THROUGH EARLY MARCH TIME PERIOD.
CLIMATE REGIME...A MODERATELY STRONG EL NINO PATTERN HAS PERSISTED
THROUGH THE FALL AND WINTER MONTHS. THIS PATTERN HAS CONTRIBUTED TO
A STORM TRACK THAT HAS BROUGHT FREQUENT AND ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
OVER MOST OF GEORGIA.
RAINFALL...DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION HAS
PREVAILED OVER MOST OF NORTH GEORGIA. THIS AREA WAS GENERALLY 75 TO
125 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES.
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL HAS PREVAILED OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA WITH 110 TO
200 PERCENT OF NORMAL AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES.
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND WIDESPREAD MINOR TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE
RIVER FLOODING OCCURRED IN NORTH GEORGIA IN DECEMBER...JANUARY AND
EARLY FEBRUARY. WIDESPREAD MINOR TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE RIVER
FLOODING HAS OCCURRED IN CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THIS SAME PERIOD.
RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...POOL LEVELS OF MOST MAJOR RESERVOIRS IN
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE RUNNING NEAR OR ABOVE TARGET LEVELS
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IT IS DURING THIS TIME THAT MANY OPERATORS
PLAN TO FILL THEIR RESERVOIRS TO SUMMER POOL LEVELS. NORMAL RAINFALL
SHOULD TAKE CARE OF THAT SITUATION WITH SOME RESERVOIRS HAVING
SURPLUS WATER TO DISCHARGE THIS YEAR TO MAINTAIN PROPER FLOOD
STORAGE.
METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WEATHER MOVES INTO A
MORE TRANSITIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE SPRING WITH INCREASING CHANCES
OF HEAVY RAIN. MARCH IS TYPICALLY THE MONTH OF GREATEST RAINFALL
ACROSS GEORGIA. THE FORECAST FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA WITH NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL EXPECTED IN
APRIL AND MAY. THE EL NINO WEATHER PATTERN WHICH HAS AFFECTED
GEORGIA THIS PAST FALL AND WINTER WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO A
NEUTRAL PATTERN BY THIS SUMMER.
...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS AND THE
PRE-EXISTING WET CONDITIONS...THE OUTLOOK IS FOR AN ABOVE NORMAL
CHANCE OF FLOODING THIS SPRING IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
&&
FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...GO TO:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/FFC
AND UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS...CLICK ON "RIVERS & LAKES".
FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/QPFVSMAP.SHTML
FOR FORECAST PRECIPITATION...GO TO:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/QPFPAGE.HTML
$$
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