Weather for Green Bay, Wisconsin
Lat: 44.51N, Lon: 88W
Wx Zone: WIZ039
Wisconsin Drought MonitorThe Wisconsin Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Wisconsin land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Wisconsin Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS73 KGRB 222323
ESFGRB
WIC009-015-029-037-041-061-067-069-071-073-075-078-083-085-087-097-
115-125-135-137-139-141-231945-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
523 PM CST MON NOV 22 2010
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
FOR DEC.-FEB. FOR ALL RIVER BASINS IN NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...
THE GREEN BAY OFFICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS IMPLEMENTED
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) FOR ALL RIVER FORECAST
POINTS IN THE SERVICE AREA. AHPS ENABLES THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE TO PROVIDE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOKS.
THESE OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED ONCE A MONTH AND ARE IN ADDITION TO THE
7 DAY RIVER FORECASTS THAT ARE ISSUED WHEN RIVER FORECAST LOCATIONS
ARE IN FLOOD OR FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
THE VALUES IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE VALID FROM NOV. 29 TO FEB. 27
2011. IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS
INDICATE THE CHANCE THAT A LOCATION ON A RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE
LISTED STAGE IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE: THE WISCONSIN RIVER
AT MERRILL HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 11 FEET. THERE IS A 10 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 6.9 FEET IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
FLOOD
STAGE
SITE (FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
WISCONSIN R.
MERRILL 11 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.9
ROTHSCHILD 25 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.9 15.3 15.5 16.0 16.3 17.3
WIS RAPIDS 12 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.4 5.0
YELLOW R.
BABCOCK 12 3.1 3.5 4.1 4.5 5.4 5.9 6.5 7.5 9.7
MENOMINEE R.
FLORENCE 9 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.5 5.0
NIAGARA 13 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.8 7.2 7.9
MCALLISTER 15 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.5 10.9 11.6
WOLF R.
LANGLADE 11.5 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.7
SHIOCTON 11 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.7 7.1 7.7 8.2 9.2
NEW LONDON 9 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.5 6.0 6.7 8.0
LITTLE WOLF R.
ROYALTON 5 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.7
WAUPACA R.
WAUPACA 6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.1
OCONTO R.
OCONTO-5SW 9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.7 5.9
====================================================================
THE TABLE BELOW INDICATED THE CHANCES OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED
STAGES DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD. FOR EXAMPLE...THERE IS A 90
PERCENT CHANCE THAT THE WISCONSIN RIVER AT MERRILL WILL FALL TO
4.7 FEET IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. THE NUMBERS REPRESENT NORMAL SEASONAL
TRENDS FOR LOW WATER LEVELS.
CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
FLOOD
STAGE
SITE (FT) 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
-------- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
WISCONSIN R.
MERRILL 11 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.7
ROTHSCHILD 25 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.9 11.8 12.1 12.6
WIS RAPIDS 12 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
YELLOW R.
BABCOCK 12 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
MENOMONEE R.
FLORENCE 9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4
NIAGARA 9 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4
MCALLISTER 15 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.3
WOLF R.
LANGLADE 11.5 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6
SHIOCTON 11 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
NEW LONDON 9 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9
LITTLE WOLF R.
ROYALTON 5 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
WAUPACA R.
WAUPACA 6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5
OCONTO R.
OCONTO-5SW 9 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4
THIS OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT ARE CALCULATED USING
MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL
DATA INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...SOIL MOISTURE...
AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILITIES
...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS
CAN BE MADE.
ADDITIONAL AHPS INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRB LOOK FOR AHPS.
$$
HAHN
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