000
FXUS64 KAMA 032132
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
332 PM CST WED DEC 3 2008
.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY...LEAVING
GUSTY NORTH WINDS IN ITS WAKE. CLOUDS HAVE BEEN STUBBORN TO ERODE
TODAY AND TEMPS HAVE ONLY MANAGED TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS
THE REGION.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGHOUT THE
COURSE OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE INTO THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW MORNING. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE QUITE COLD ACROSS ALL
OF THE REGION...WITH TEENS TO LOWER 20S COMMON. WENT AHEAD AND
UNDERCUT THE MAV IN MOST PLACES AND SIDED TOWARDS THE COOLER MET
NUMBERS.
NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF A WARM UP OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
THE PANHANDLES WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A COLDER AND DRY
AIRMASS...WITH GENERAL TREND OF UNDERCUTTING GUIDANCE FOR THE MOST
PART. TEMPS ON THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 30 TO THE MIDDLE
40S IN THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE. AGAIN...EXPECTING ANOTHER COLD
NIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH TEENS AND LOWER 20S
POSSIBLE. SLIGHT REBOUND CAN BE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH LOWER TO
MIDDLE 40S ACROSS THE PANHANDLES.
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...EXPECT LEE TROUGH TO DEVELOP BY LATE
FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURNING TO THE REGION. DESPITE WEAK
COLD FRONT/WIND SHIFT ON SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM BACK UP
TO ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 50S. LEE TROUGH
WILL RETURN AND DEEPEN INTO SUNDAY WITH WINDS BOUNCING BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 60 DEGREES ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA.
THE NEXT SYSTEM BEARING WATCHING WILL APPROACH THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES TOWARDS THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...AS UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS IN FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. MODELS
WERE IN DISAGREEMENT ON THIS FEATURE...SPECIFICALLY IN HANDLING THE
CUTOFF LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CALIFORNIA. PREVIOUS RUNS OF
THE EUROPEAN KICKED IT OUT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. NEW 12Z
EUROPEAN NOW HOLDS THE LOW BACK IN THE PACIFIC LIKE PREVIOUS RUNS OF
THE GFS. FOR NOW WILL ONLY CARRY AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER FOR
MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
UNITED STATES...WITH NON-MENTIONABLE POPS.
TAB
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AS MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS...ALONG WITH
WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN 15 MPH.
TAB
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX 19 38 18 44 27 / 0 0 0 0 0
BEAVER OK 19 36 17 43 26 / 0 5 10 5 0
BOISE CITY OK 19 37 16 44 25 / 0 5 10 0 0
BORGER TX 21 40 22 45 30 / 0 0 0 0 0
BOYS RANCH TX 19 40 18 44 26 / 0 0 5 0 0
CANYON TX 19 39 18 44 27 / 0 0 0 0 0
CLARENDON TX 21 41 20 42 27 / 0 5 0 0 0
DALHART TX 19 38 17 42 24 / 0 5 5 0 0
GUYMON OK 19 36 18 43 25 / 0 5 5 5 0
HEREFORD TX 18 41 18 43 26 / 0 0 0 0 0
LIPSCOMB TX 16 38 17 43 27 / 0 5 5 5 0
PAMPA TX 20 39 19 42 28 / 0 0 0 0 0
SHAMROCK TX 21 41 20 42 27 / 0 0 0 0 0
WELLINGTON TX 22 44 21 43 28 / 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
&&
$$
15/10
