Weather for Lakewood, Colorado
Lat: 39.70N, Lon: 105.11W
Wx Zone: COZ039
Colorado Drought MonitorThe Colorado Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Colorado land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Colorado Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
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FGUS75 KBOU 282010
ESFBOU
COC001-001-031-035-057-059-069-087-115-123-150000-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
210 PM MDT TUE JUNE 28 2011
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PROBABILISTIC
OUTLOOK...PROVIDES LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOKS FOR
SOME FORECAST POINTS IN NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COLORADO.
VALID FROM JUNE 26 TO SEPTEMBER 24 2011
THE FOLLOWING TABLE GIVES THE CHANCE OF REACHING DIFFERENT
FLOOD LEVELS AT THE GAUGES DURING THE VALID PERIOD.
APPROXIMATE CHANCE OF
FLOOD LEVELS (FT) REACHING FLOOD LEVELS
LOCATION MINOR MODRT MAJOR MINOR MODRT MAJOR
-------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
SOUTH PLATTE 7.0 9.0 11.0 <10% <10% <10%
DENVER 11.0 12.5 14.0 <10% <10% <10%
HENDERSON 10.0 11.0 15.0 <10% <10% <10%
KERSEY 10.0 11.5 12.0 <10% <10% <10%
WELDONA 10.0 11.0 13.0 <10% <10% <10%
BALZAC 10.0 11.0 13.0 <10% <10% <10%
JULESBURG 10.0 12.0 13.0 <10% <10% <10%
PLUM CREEK
SEDALIA 8.0 10.0 12.0 <10% <10% <10%
BEAR CREEK
MORRISON 9.0 10.0 11.0 <10% <10% <10%
SHERIDAN 8.0 10.0 11.0 <10% <10% <10%
CLEAR CREEK
GOLDEN 10.0 13.0 14.0 <10% <10% <10%
DERBY 9.0 10.5 11.5 <10% <10% <10%
N FK BIG THOMPSON RIVER
DRAKE 6.0 7.0 8.0 <10% <10% <10%
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
FORT COLLINS 9NW 7.5 9.0 10.5 <10% <10% <10%
FORT COLLINS 12.0 13.5 19.0 <10% <10% <10%
GREELEY 9.0 10.0 12.0 <10% <10% <10%
NORTH PLATTE RIVER
NORTHGATE 8.0 9.5 11.0 44% <10% <10%
IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THAT A LOCATION ON A STREAM COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE
LEVELS IN THE NEXT 3 MONTHS /JULY-SEPTEMBER 2011/.
FOR EXAMPLE: THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER AT DENVER HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF
11 FEET. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE THAT THE STREAM WILL RISE
ABOVE 6.0 FEET IN THE NEXT 3 MONTHS.
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
----------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
SOUTH PLATTE 7 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 5.2
DENVER 11 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.7 5.7 6.0 6.2
HENDERSON 10 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.6 8.1
KERSEY 10 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.7 8.3
WELDONA 10 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.4 7.1
BALZAC 10 5.6 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.8 7.2 7.8
JULESBURG 10 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.4 7.1
PLUM CREEK
SEDALIA 8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.1
BEAR CREEK
MORRISON 9 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.0
SHERIDAN 8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.9
CLEAR CREEK
GOLDEN 10 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.4
DERBY 9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.5
N FK BIG THOMPSON RIVER
DRAKE 6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
FORT COLLINS 9NW 7.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.2
FORT COLLINS 12 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.7 8.4 8.7
GREELEY 9 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.5 8.8
NORTH PLATTE RIVER
NORTHGATE 8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.8
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT
ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS
OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...
SNOW COVER...SOIL MOISTURE...AND 30 TO 90 DAY OUTLOOKS OF
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF
PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE
PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS
ARE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE`S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC
PREDICTION SERVICE.
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED TOWARD THE END OF
EACH MONTH. THESE OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED IN ADDITION TO THE 3 DAY
RIVER FORECASTS WHICH ARE ISSUED WHEN RIVER FORECAST LOCATIONS ARE
IN FLOOD OR FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. VISIT OUR WEB PAGE
AT WEATHER.GOV/BOU FOR MORE WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION INCLUDING
GRAPHS OF PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOKS.
$$
TH
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