000
FXUS61 KBOX 272058
AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
358 PM EST MON DEC 27 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
NOREASTER THAT AFFECTED SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A GRADUAL MODERATING
TEMPERATURE TREND WILL DEVELOP DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY APPROACHING NOVA SCOTIA AND CONTINUING TO MOVE
AWAY FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ANY REMAINING FLURRIES IN THE WRAP
AROUND WILL BE GONE BY EVENING WITH CLEARING COMMENCING. COLD TEMPS
TONIGHT AND MODERATE WINDS WILL LEAD TO COLD WIND CHILL VALUES AS
LOW AS -10 OR SO FROM ORH WEST...AND WILL MENTION WIND CHILLS IN
THE WSW UPDATE EARLY THIS EVENING.
HIGH WIND WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR EASTERN
MASS/RI/CAPE AND ISLANDS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT 50KT GUSTS
REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING OVER THESE AREAS...AND CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS SHOWING SEVERAL SITES AOA 45KT. WITH SOME AREAS
RECEIVING HEAVY WET SNOW... TREES ARE WEAKENED AND LADEN WITH SNOW
AND THE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO ADDITIONAL POWER
OUTAGES THIS EVENING. FURTHER INLAND...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 50 MPH
HAS BEEN ISSUED.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
CYCLONIC FLOW AND NORTHWEST WINDS MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL CLOUDS
TOMORROW OVER CAPE AND ISLANDS. OTHERWISE DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW WITH GUSTY WINDS. SOME 40KT GUSTS EXPECTED
AGAIN DURING THE DAY TOMORROW WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
* WINDS DIMINISHING TUESDAY NIGHT
* A GENERAL MODERATING TEMPERATURE TREND BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AND
LEADING INTO NEW YEARS DAY
TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS LOW PULLS FURTHER
NORTHEAST AND GRADIENT BEGINS TO SLACKEN...AND HIGH PRESSURE NOSES
INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. STILL SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE
EARLY ON ALONG THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. FOR TEMPS WENT WITH A BLEND OF
PREVIOUS AND MOS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEW YEARS DAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS
THE EASTERN SEABOARD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATING OUR AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MODERATE
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS MODIFYING TO NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE WEST AS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE
COUNTRY LIFTS NORTHEAST. HAVE INCLUDED A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE COLD FRONT.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 00Z...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT
FROM MVFR/IFR TO VFR FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. VSBYS MAY BE REDUCED TO MVFR CONDITIONS AT TIMES IN
BLOWING SNOW. NW WINDS GUSTING UP TO 45 KTS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA.
TONIGHT...HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR. OUTER CAPE COD WILL MAINTAIN
MVFR CEILINGS 2000-3000 FT DUE TO OCEAN-EFFECT CLOUDS. NW WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 40 KT AT COASTAL TERMINALS.
KBOS TERMINAL...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
IMPROVING TO VFR LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING. HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS IN THE TAFS WITH LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE
ON THE TIMING OF IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS. NW WINDS GUSTING UP TO
45 KTS AT TIMES.
TUESDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR. NW WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 TO 35 KT
TUESDAY...EXCEPT GUSTS TO 40 KTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
OUTLOOK...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR.
WINDS DIMINISHING TUESDAY NIGHT.
&&
.MARINE...
TONIGHT...WINDS AND SEAS SLOWLY DIMINISH. WILL CONTINUE STORM
WARNINGS THROUGH LATE EVENING...AND THEN THEY CAN BE DOWNGRADED TO
GALES. AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY ARE LIKELY TONIGHT ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS.
TUESDAY ...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY WITH
SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING.
OUTLOOK...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...GALE WARNINGS SHOULD TREND DOWN TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TUE NIGHT WITH NW WINDS STILL GUSTING TO 25
TO 30 KT...THEN GUSTS TO 25 KT WED. SEAS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SEAS ON THE OUTER WATERS DROP BELOW 5 FT
ON THURSDAY...THEN WINDS/SEAS BELOW SCA CRITERIA THRU SATURDAY.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CONTINUING COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE AFTERNOON TIDE CYCLE.
SURGES AROUND 2 FT ALONG WITH 1-2 FT RESIDUAL AND VERY LARGE WAVES
OFFSHORE SHOULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING WITH THE AFTERNOON HIGH
TIDE. WITH WINDS SLOWLY BACKING OFFSHORE AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES
EAST INTO THE GULF OF MAINE RESIDUAL WATER LEVELS WILL RECEDE.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NUMEROUS ASOS SITES HAVE TROUBLE TICKETS ISSUED AND WILL BE LOOKED
AT AT THE EARLIEST CONVENIENCE.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR
CTZ002>004.
MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR
MAZ002>006-008>012-026.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR MAZ007-
013>024.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MAZ007-
015-016-019-022-024.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NHZ011-
012-015.
RI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR RIZ001-
003.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR RIZ002-
004>008.
MARINE...STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ230>235-237-
250-251-254>256.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ236.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DRM
NEAR TERM...DRM
SHORT TERM...DRM
LONG TERM...RLG/NMB
AVIATION...EVT/RLG/NMB
MARINE...NMB/DRM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EQUIPMENT...
