Weather for Paducah, Kentucky
Lat: 37.07N, Lon: 88.64W
Wx Zone: KYZ005
Kentucky Drought MonitorThe Kentucky Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Kentucky land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Kentucky Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS73 KPAH 221504
ESFPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-
181-185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-
035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-
177-219-221-225-233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-
207-223-151200-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
905 AM CST WED DEC 22 2010
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE ENABLES THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE TO PROVIDE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC RIVER
OUTLOOKS...
IN THE TABLES BELOW...THE PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE CHANCE THE
RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
EXAMPLE...THE WABASH RIVER AT NEW HARMONY HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 15
FEET. IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE THE RIVER
WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE.
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID 12/27/2010 - 3/27/2011
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
BIG MUDDY RIVER
PLUMFIELD 20 16.3 18.3 19.2 20.4 21.8 22.9 23.6 24.7 26.9
MURPHYSBORO 22 14.0 17.7 19.9 21.6 23.7 24.8 25.4 26.3 31.1
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID 12/27/2010 - 3/24/2011
LOCATION FS(FT) 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
OHIO RIVER
OWENSBORO 40 32.1 32.9 36.5 40.5 42.7 44.9 45.0
NEWBURGH LOWER 38 35.8 36.8 41.1 43.8 45.3 46.9 47.0
EVANSVILLE 42 32.6 33.7 37.1 41.5 43.2 44.4 44.7
MOUNT VERNON 35 31.2 32.2 35.5 40.5 42.8 45.0 45.4
JT MYERS LOWER 37 33.1 33.9 37.4 42.2 45.5 47.9 49.5
SHAWNEETOWN 33 30.8 31.6 35.4 41.6 46.1 48.9 50.5
GOLCONDA 40 34.5 34.8 36.6 40.2 43.9 47.3 49.0
GREEN RIVER
PARADISE 380 378.4 379.1 381.2 383.7 388.2 394.3 398.7
CALHOUN 23 17.9 19.0 21.0 23.1 26.8 30.8 34.8
WABASH RIVER
NEW HARMONY 15 9.5 11.0 15.0 17.2 18.5 20.1 21.0
PATOKA RIVER
PRINCETON 18 11.9 12.5 15.2 17.0 20.2 22.1 22.4
LITTLE WABASH RIVER
CARMI 27 17.2 18.3 22.8 27.1 31.8 34.4 36.1
SKILLET FORK RIVER
WAYNE CITY 15 8.1 8.6 9.7 12.0 16.0 19.8 20.5
DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE GREATLY IMPROVED SINCE LAST MONTH WITH
A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. THE REGION HAS BEEN COLD WITH
PERIODIC ROUNDS OF RAIN AND SNOW. FOR DECEMBER...PRECIPITATION
TOTALS AT MANY LOCATIONS ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.
FOR THE YEAR...MOST SITES ARE 11 TO 13 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.
IN THE SHORT TERM...THE MAJOR STORM SYSTEM THAT HAS BEEN
POUNDING THE WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE REGION
JUST IN TIME FOR CHRISTMAS. LIQUID WATER EQUIVALENTS WILL BE
LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH.
THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR DECEMBER 29 THROUGH JANUARY 4...
CALLS FOR NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION. DURING THIS TIME...NORMAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
ARE 31 TO 33 DEGREES. NORMAL TOTAL PRECIPITATION DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD IS BETWEEN THREE-QUARTERS AND ONE INCH. THE 90 DAY
OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY THROUGH MARCH CALLS FOR NORMAL TO ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST
VALUES THAT ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS
FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA INCLUDING
CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...SOIL MOISTURE...AND 30
TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF
PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-
RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE
PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS ARE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE`S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS).
AS HYDROLOGIC MODELS ARE CALIBRATED AT VARIOUS RIVER
FORECAST CENTERS...THAT SERVE THE WFO PADUCAH HYDROLOGIC
SERVICE AREA...OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL YEARS...MORE AND
MORE FORECAST POINTS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE ADDED TO
THIS PRODUCT.
ADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND EXPLANATIONS ARE AVAILABLE
ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PADUCAH
(ALL LOWER CASE)
$$
LAMM
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