Weather for Austin, Texas
Lat: 30.31N, Lon: 97.75W
Wx Zone: TXZ192
Texas Drought MonitorThe Texas Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Texas land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Texas Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
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FGUS74 KEWX 161619
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TXC055-091-123-177-187-209-259-265-171019-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1019 AM CST THU DEC 16 2010
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) LONG RANGE
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK FOR THE GUADALUPE RIVER BASIN IN SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...
THE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TEXAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
HAS IMPLEMENTED ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE
(AHPS) FOR THE GUADALUPE RIVER BASIN IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
AHPS ENABLES THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO PROVIDE LONG-RANGE
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS. THIS SERVICE IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE
INTERNET.
IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE
THE CHANCE THE RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS
IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. EXAMPLE: THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT GONZALES
HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 31 FEET. THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
CHANCE THE GUADALUPE FORECAST POINT WILL RISE ABOVE
13.8 FEET DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID 12/15/2010 - 3/15/2010
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
GUADALUPE RIVER
HUNT 10.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 8.2 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.4 11.1
COMFORT 21.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 5.4 8.6 10.3 12.6 17.9 43.4
SPRING BRANCH 30.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.3 4.5 5.5 6.0 7.1 9.7
ABV COMAL NB 7.0 1.4 1.4 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
BLW COMAL NB 13.0 9.9 10.0 10.5 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.1
SEGUIN 19.0 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.4
GONZALES 31.0 11.7 11.7 12.2 13.2 13.8 14.0 14.6 15.8 22.5
CUERO 24.0 8.1 8.1 9.0 10.2 10.8 11.2 11.9 13.1 20.9
BLANCO RIVER
WIMBERLEY 13.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.8 5.4 5.6 6.7
SAN MARCOS RIVER
LULING 20.0 4.0 4.1 4.7 5.6 5.9 7.2 8.3 10.5 14.1
PLUM CREEK
NEAR LULING 23.0 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
PEACH CREEK
BLW DILWORTH 23.0 8.9 8.9 9.7 10.6 11.0 12.4 13.3 15.3 19.8
SANDIES CREEK
NEAR WESTHOFF 21.0 2.8 3.5 4.8 5.4 6.0 7.4 10.2 11.8 18.5
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS NUMBERS THAT ARE
CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SCENARIOS FROM 50 YEARS OF HISTORICAL
CLIMATOLOGICAL AND STREAM FLOW DATA. THESE NUMBERS ALSO TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER AND SOIL MOISTURE.
BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILISTIC NUMBERS...THE
LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONG-RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS
CAN BE DETERMINED.
ADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND EXPLANATION ARE AVAILABLE ON THE
INTERNET AT: WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/CGI-BIN/AHPS.CGI?EWX
(INTERNET ADDRESS IS ALL LOWER CASE).
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED AROUND THE THIRD
THURSDAY OF EVERY MONTH.
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